Finance & economics | Buttonwood

When to sell your stocks

Poker provides investors with helpful guidance

Illustration of a card with a king looking at a burning share.
Illustration: Satoshi Kambayashi

Watch professionals play poker, and one of the first things to strike you is how often they fold when the game has barely begun. Rounds of Texas Hold’em, a popular variant, start with each player being dealt two cards and then deciding whether to bet on them. Amateurs are more likely to proceed than not, while pros fold immediately up to 85% of the time. Naturally this does not mean that high-stakes casinos are frequented by the timid. It is simply that most hands are too likely to lose to be worth betting on, and the pros are better at judging when this is the case.

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This article appeared in the Finance & economics section of the print edition under the headline “Exit wounds”

From the June 1st 2024 edition

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