Finance & economics | Guns and hoses

Three surprises that could inflame commodity markets in 2024

What it would take for another bout of mayhem

 Chinese Oil Rig, silhouetted before sunrise.
Pumping for AmericaPhotograph: Alamy

As Russia continues to pound Kyiv, Western sanctions are beginning to cripple Arctic LNG 2, the aggressor’s largest gas-export project. In the Red Sea, through which 10% of the world’s seaborne oil travels, American forces are doing their best to repel drone attacks by Yemen’s Houthi rebels. On January 3rd local protests shut down production at a crucial Libyan oilfield. A severe drought in the Amazon risks hampering maize shipments from Brazil, the world’s largest exporter of the grain.

This article appeared in the Finance & economics section of the print edition under the headline “Guns and hoses”

From the January 6th 2024 edition

Discover stories from this section and more in the list of contents

Explore the edition

More from Finance & economics

Solar panels installed on the roof of a building at Skardu in Pakistan's Gilgit-Baltistan region.

Cheap solar power is sending electrical grids into a death spiral

Pakistan and South Africa provide a warning for other countries

People walk at Zaryadye park with the Kremlin and St. Basil's Cathedral in the background in Moscow, Russia.

Russian inflation is too high. Does that matter?

In a strong economy, price pressure can endure for a long time


illustration of a house cut in half diagonally, the lower corner being a bill.

Why you should repay your mortgage early

For the first time in decades, the arithmetic suggests settling housing loans


How AI will divide the best from the rest

Optimists hope the technology will be a great equaliser. Instead, it looks likely to widen social divides

The danger of relying on OpenAI’s Deep Research

Economists are in raptures, but they should be careful

Elon Musk is failing to cut American spending

DOGE has so far disrupted everything in government bar the deficit