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    Day 2 Outlook >
Mar 28, 2024 0100 UTC Day 1 Convective Outlook
Updated: Thu Mar 28 00:39:21 UTC 2024 (Print Version | 20240328 0100Z Day 1 shapefile | 20240328 0100Z Day 1 KML)
Probabilistic to Categorical Outlook Conversion Table
Categorical Tornado Wind Hail
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 Forecast Discussion
   SPC AC 280039

   Day 1 Convective Outlook  
   NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
   0739 PM CDT Wed Mar 27 2024

   Valid 280100Z - 281200Z

   ...THERE IS A MARGINAL RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS ACROSS PARTS OF
   THE SOUTHEAST...

   ...SUMMARY...
   A marginal risk of severe hail and damaging winds persists this
   evening over parts of the near-coastal Southeast.

   ...01z Update...

   Progressive southern-stream short-wave trough is ejecting east
   across the Gulf States early this evening. At the surface, frontal
   zone will gradually shift toward the Southeast Coast, eventually
   migrating offshore by the end of the period. A narrow corridor of
   weak buoyancy currently resides across southeast GA into Coastal
   Carolinas. This air mass remains favorable for the maintenance of
   scattered convection along the advancing front. Even so, lapse rates
   are not particularly steep so the most robust activity is expected
   to only produce isolated gusty winds, and perhaps marginally severe
   hail.

   ..Darrow.. 03/28/2024

   CLICK TO GET WUUS01 PTSDY1 PRODUCT

   NOTE: THE NEXT DAY 1 OUTLOOK IS SCHEDULED BY 0600Z

        
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Page last modified: March 28, 2024
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