SlideShare a Scribd company logo
1 of 4
Use Oddsmakers’ Knowledge Against
Them Applies in MLB Too!
OffshoreInsiders.com
 Use oddsmakers knowledge against them. MLB no exception
 Worse team (based on winning percentage) favorite is very good
bet
o Even more impressive on runline
o Moneyline and ATS, SU record most deceptive stat from capping
standpoint
 Colder and inferior pitcher better value
o Public loves better, hot pitchers
o Big favorites better in recent years, especially on runline
 Oddsmakers tell you a team has best chance to win in recent play, listen to
them
o Example if they are favorite after three straight games as dog of 140 or more
o Ditto, total lower than usual, generally an UNDER
 Early in my industry days was told, bet WITH opposite streaks of at least 3
o One team at least 3 game, win streak other lost at least 3, but on hotter team
o Opposite is true especially if colder team the favorite
 Regression to the mean
 Golden Rule, if line does not make sense based on W-L record or recent
streaks, it makes dollars
o Pros think counterintuitive
MLB Use Oddsmakers Knowledge Against Them.pptx

More Related Content

More from Joe Duffy

UCF-GA Tech Sports Betting Splits Gasparilla Bowl
UCF-GA Tech Sports Betting Splits Gasparilla BowlUCF-GA Tech Sports Betting Splits Gasparilla Bowl
UCF-GA Tech Sports Betting Splits Gasparilla BowlJoe Duffy
 
RoofClaim.com Boca Raton Bowl, NFL Betting Splits
RoofClaim.com Boca Raton Bowl, NFL Betting SplitsRoofClaim.com Boca Raton Bowl, NFL Betting Splits
RoofClaim.com Boca Raton Bowl, NFL Betting SplitsJoe Duffy
 
Eagles-Seahawks MNF Betting Splits From Top Sports Handicapper
Eagles-Seahawks MNF Betting Splits From Top Sports HandicapperEagles-Seahawks MNF Betting Splits From Top Sports Handicapper
Eagles-Seahawks MNF Betting Splits From Top Sports HandicapperJoe Duffy
 
NFL and College Football Betting Splits To Win Bets
NFL and College Football Betting Splits To Win BetsNFL and College Football Betting Splits To Win Bets
NFL and College Football Betting Splits To Win BetsJoe Duffy
 
NBA Free Pick Nov 15
NBA Free Pick Nov 15NBA Free Pick Nov 15
NBA Free Pick Nov 15Joe Duffy
 
Margin of Cover College Football The Vegas Mistake
Margin of Cover College Football The Vegas Mistake Margin of Cover College Football The Vegas Mistake
Margin of Cover College Football The Vegas Mistake Joe Duffy
 
The Vegas Nightmare: Utah vs. USC Free Pick
The Vegas Nightmare: Utah vs. USC Free Pick The Vegas Nightmare: Utah vs. USC Free Pick
The Vegas Nightmare: Utah vs. USC Free Pick Joe Duffy
 
Free CFB Pick Oct 7 From Top Handicapper
Free CFB Pick Oct 7 From Top HandicapperFree CFB Pick Oct 7 From Top Handicapper
Free CFB Pick Oct 7 From Top HandicapperJoe Duffy
 
Kent St. vs. UCF Free Sports Betting Pick College Football
Kent St. vs. UCF Free Sports Betting Pick College Football Kent St. vs. UCF Free Sports Betting Pick College Football
Kent St. vs. UCF Free Sports Betting Pick College Football Joe Duffy
 
Best Sandwiches in Atlanta Metro Area
Best Sandwiches in Atlanta Metro AreaBest Sandwiches in Atlanta Metro Area
Best Sandwiches in Atlanta Metro AreaJoe Duffy
 
Week 1 College Football Betting Trends Thursday.pptx
Week 1 College Football Betting Trends Thursday.pptxWeek 1 College Football Betting Trends Thursday.pptx
Week 1 College Football Betting Trends Thursday.pptxJoe Duffy
 
Week 0 College Football Betting Trends.pptx
Week 0 College Football Betting Trends.pptxWeek 0 College Football Betting Trends.pptx
Week 0 College Football Betting Trends.pptxJoe Duffy
 
2023 College Football National Championship Odds
2023 College Football National Championship Odds 2023 College Football National Championship Odds
2023 College Football National Championship Odds Joe Duffy
 
2023 March Madness Odds To Win Each Region of NCAA Tournament
2023 March Madness Odds To Win Each Region of NCAA Tournament 2023 March Madness Odds To Win Each Region of NCAA Tournament
2023 March Madness Odds To Win Each Region of NCAA Tournament Joe Duffy
 
NFL Free PIck.pptx
NFL Free PIck.pptxNFL Free PIck.pptx
NFL Free PIck.pptxJoe Duffy
 
NBA Betting Market Report For Oct. 19
NBA Betting Market Report For Oct. 19NBA Betting Market Report For Oct. 19
NBA Betting Market Report For Oct. 19Joe Duffy
 
Free College Football Picks Week 7
Free College Football Picks Week 7Free College Football Picks Week 7
Free College Football Picks Week 7Joe Duffy
 
NFL Picks, Week 3 Betting Tips
NFL Picks, Week 3 Betting Tips NFL Picks, Week 3 Betting Tips
NFL Picks, Week 3 Betting Tips Joe Duffy
 
Week 2 College Football Free Picks
Week 2 College Football Free PicksWeek 2 College Football Free Picks
Week 2 College Football Free PicksJoe Duffy
 
Best Sports Betting Podcast Free Picks Notes Week 1 College Football
Best Sports Betting Podcast Free Picks Notes Week 1 College Football Best Sports Betting Podcast Free Picks Notes Week 1 College Football
Best Sports Betting Podcast Free Picks Notes Week 1 College Football Joe Duffy
 

More from Joe Duffy (20)

UCF-GA Tech Sports Betting Splits Gasparilla Bowl
UCF-GA Tech Sports Betting Splits Gasparilla BowlUCF-GA Tech Sports Betting Splits Gasparilla Bowl
UCF-GA Tech Sports Betting Splits Gasparilla Bowl
 
RoofClaim.com Boca Raton Bowl, NFL Betting Splits
RoofClaim.com Boca Raton Bowl, NFL Betting SplitsRoofClaim.com Boca Raton Bowl, NFL Betting Splits
RoofClaim.com Boca Raton Bowl, NFL Betting Splits
 
Eagles-Seahawks MNF Betting Splits From Top Sports Handicapper
Eagles-Seahawks MNF Betting Splits From Top Sports HandicapperEagles-Seahawks MNF Betting Splits From Top Sports Handicapper
Eagles-Seahawks MNF Betting Splits From Top Sports Handicapper
 
NFL and College Football Betting Splits To Win Bets
NFL and College Football Betting Splits To Win BetsNFL and College Football Betting Splits To Win Bets
NFL and College Football Betting Splits To Win Bets
 
NBA Free Pick Nov 15
NBA Free Pick Nov 15NBA Free Pick Nov 15
NBA Free Pick Nov 15
 
Margin of Cover College Football The Vegas Mistake
Margin of Cover College Football The Vegas Mistake Margin of Cover College Football The Vegas Mistake
Margin of Cover College Football The Vegas Mistake
 
The Vegas Nightmare: Utah vs. USC Free Pick
The Vegas Nightmare: Utah vs. USC Free Pick The Vegas Nightmare: Utah vs. USC Free Pick
The Vegas Nightmare: Utah vs. USC Free Pick
 
Free CFB Pick Oct 7 From Top Handicapper
Free CFB Pick Oct 7 From Top HandicapperFree CFB Pick Oct 7 From Top Handicapper
Free CFB Pick Oct 7 From Top Handicapper
 
Kent St. vs. UCF Free Sports Betting Pick College Football
Kent St. vs. UCF Free Sports Betting Pick College Football Kent St. vs. UCF Free Sports Betting Pick College Football
Kent St. vs. UCF Free Sports Betting Pick College Football
 
Best Sandwiches in Atlanta Metro Area
Best Sandwiches in Atlanta Metro AreaBest Sandwiches in Atlanta Metro Area
Best Sandwiches in Atlanta Metro Area
 
Week 1 College Football Betting Trends Thursday.pptx
Week 1 College Football Betting Trends Thursday.pptxWeek 1 College Football Betting Trends Thursday.pptx
Week 1 College Football Betting Trends Thursday.pptx
 
Week 0 College Football Betting Trends.pptx
Week 0 College Football Betting Trends.pptxWeek 0 College Football Betting Trends.pptx
Week 0 College Football Betting Trends.pptx
 
2023 College Football National Championship Odds
2023 College Football National Championship Odds 2023 College Football National Championship Odds
2023 College Football National Championship Odds
 
2023 March Madness Odds To Win Each Region of NCAA Tournament
2023 March Madness Odds To Win Each Region of NCAA Tournament 2023 March Madness Odds To Win Each Region of NCAA Tournament
2023 March Madness Odds To Win Each Region of NCAA Tournament
 
NFL Free PIck.pptx
NFL Free PIck.pptxNFL Free PIck.pptx
NFL Free PIck.pptx
 
NBA Betting Market Report For Oct. 19
NBA Betting Market Report For Oct. 19NBA Betting Market Report For Oct. 19
NBA Betting Market Report For Oct. 19
 
Free College Football Picks Week 7
Free College Football Picks Week 7Free College Football Picks Week 7
Free College Football Picks Week 7
 
NFL Picks, Week 3 Betting Tips
NFL Picks, Week 3 Betting Tips NFL Picks, Week 3 Betting Tips
NFL Picks, Week 3 Betting Tips
 
Week 2 College Football Free Picks
Week 2 College Football Free PicksWeek 2 College Football Free Picks
Week 2 College Football Free Picks
 
Best Sports Betting Podcast Free Picks Notes Week 1 College Football
Best Sports Betting Podcast Free Picks Notes Week 1 College Football Best Sports Betting Podcast Free Picks Notes Week 1 College Football
Best Sports Betting Podcast Free Picks Notes Week 1 College Football
 

Recently uploaded

08448380779 Call Girls In IIT Women Seeking Men
08448380779 Call Girls In IIT Women Seeking Men08448380779 Call Girls In IIT Women Seeking Men
08448380779 Call Girls In IIT Women Seeking MenDelhi Call girls
 
ALL NFL NETWORK CONTACTS- April 29, 2024
ALL NFL NETWORK CONTACTS- April 29, 2024ALL NFL NETWORK CONTACTS- April 29, 2024
ALL NFL NETWORK CONTACTS- April 29, 2024Brian Slack
 
Atlanta Dream Exec Dan Gadd on Driving Fan Engagement and Growth, Serving the...
Atlanta Dream Exec Dan Gadd on Driving Fan Engagement and Growth, Serving the...Atlanta Dream Exec Dan Gadd on Driving Fan Engagement and Growth, Serving the...
Atlanta Dream Exec Dan Gadd on Driving Fan Engagement and Growth, Serving the...Neil Horowitz
 
大学假文凭《原版英国Imperial文凭》帝国理工学院毕业证制作成绩单修改
大学假文凭《原版英国Imperial文凭》帝国理工学院毕业证制作成绩单修改大学假文凭《原版英国Imperial文凭》帝国理工学院毕业证制作成绩单修改
大学假文凭《原版英国Imperial文凭》帝国理工学院毕业证制作成绩单修改atducpo
 
JORNADA 5 LIGA MURO 2024INSUGURACION.pdf
JORNADA 5 LIGA MURO 2024INSUGURACION.pdfJORNADA 5 LIGA MURO 2024INSUGURACION.pdf
JORNADA 5 LIGA MURO 2024INSUGURACION.pdfArturo Pacheco Alvarez
 
08448380779 Call Girls In International Airport Women Seeking Men
08448380779 Call Girls In International Airport Women Seeking Men08448380779 Call Girls In International Airport Women Seeking Men
08448380779 Call Girls In International Airport Women Seeking MenDelhi Call girls
 
Dubai Call Girls Bikni O528786472 Call Girls Dubai Ebony
Dubai Call Girls Bikni O528786472 Call Girls Dubai EbonyDubai Call Girls Bikni O528786472 Call Girls Dubai Ebony
Dubai Call Girls Bikni O528786472 Call Girls Dubai Ebonyhf8803863
 
TAM Sports_IPL 17 Till Match 37_Celebrity Endorsement _Report.pdf
TAM Sports_IPL 17 Till Match 37_Celebrity Endorsement _Report.pdfTAM Sports_IPL 17 Till Match 37_Celebrity Endorsement _Report.pdf
TAM Sports_IPL 17 Till Match 37_Celebrity Endorsement _Report.pdfSocial Samosa
 
CALL ON ➥8923113531 🔝Call Girls Chinhat Lucknow best sexual service
CALL ON ➥8923113531 🔝Call Girls Chinhat Lucknow best sexual serviceCALL ON ➥8923113531 🔝Call Girls Chinhat Lucknow best sexual service
CALL ON ➥8923113531 🔝Call Girls Chinhat Lucknow best sexual serviceanilsa9823
 
VIP Kolkata Call Girl Liluah 👉 8250192130 Available With Room
VIP Kolkata Call Girl Liluah 👉 8250192130  Available With RoomVIP Kolkata Call Girl Liluah 👉 8250192130  Available With Room
VIP Kolkata Call Girl Liluah 👉 8250192130 Available With Roomdivyansh0kumar0
 
CALL ON ➥8923113531 🔝Call Girls Telibagh Lucknow best Night Fun service 🧣
CALL ON ➥8923113531 🔝Call Girls Telibagh Lucknow best Night Fun service  🧣CALL ON ➥8923113531 🔝Call Girls Telibagh Lucknow best Night Fun service  🧣
CALL ON ➥8923113531 🔝Call Girls Telibagh Lucknow best Night Fun service 🧣anilsa9823
 
🔝|97111༒99012🔝 Call Girls In {Delhi} Cr Park ₹5.5k Cash Payment With Room De...
🔝|97111༒99012🔝 Call Girls In  {Delhi} Cr Park ₹5.5k Cash Payment With Room De...🔝|97111༒99012🔝 Call Girls In  {Delhi} Cr Park ₹5.5k Cash Payment With Room De...
🔝|97111༒99012🔝 Call Girls In {Delhi} Cr Park ₹5.5k Cash Payment With Room De...Diya Sharma
 
CALL ON ➥8923113531 🔝Call Girls Saharaganj Lucknow best Female service 🦺
CALL ON ➥8923113531 🔝Call Girls Saharaganj Lucknow best Female service  🦺CALL ON ➥8923113531 🔝Call Girls Saharaganj Lucknow best Female service  🦺
CALL ON ➥8923113531 🔝Call Girls Saharaganj Lucknow best Female service 🦺anilsa9823
 
Albania Vs Spain Albania is Loaded with Defensive Talent on their Roster.docx
Albania Vs Spain Albania is Loaded with Defensive Talent on their Roster.docxAlbania Vs Spain Albania is Loaded with Defensive Talent on their Roster.docx
Albania Vs Spain Albania is Loaded with Defensive Talent on their Roster.docxWorld Wide Tickets And Hospitality
 
Plan d'orientations stratégiques rugby féminin
Plan d'orientations stratégiques rugby fémininPlan d'orientations stratégiques rugby féminin
Plan d'orientations stratégiques rugby fémininThibaut TATRY
 
Italy vs Albania Tickets: Italy's Quest for Euro Cup Germany History, Defendi...
Italy vs Albania Tickets: Italy's Quest for Euro Cup Germany History, Defendi...Italy vs Albania Tickets: Italy's Quest for Euro Cup Germany History, Defendi...
Italy vs Albania Tickets: Italy's Quest for Euro Cup Germany History, Defendi...Eticketing.co
 
Croatia vs Albania Clash of Euro Cup 2024 Squad Preparations and Euro Cup Dre...
Croatia vs Albania Clash of Euro Cup 2024 Squad Preparations and Euro Cup Dre...Croatia vs Albania Clash of Euro Cup 2024 Squad Preparations and Euro Cup Dre...
Croatia vs Albania Clash of Euro Cup 2024 Squad Preparations and Euro Cup Dre...Eticketing.co
 

Recently uploaded (20)

08448380779 Call Girls In IIT Women Seeking Men
08448380779 Call Girls In IIT Women Seeking Men08448380779 Call Girls In IIT Women Seeking Men
08448380779 Call Girls In IIT Women Seeking Men
 
Call Girls In RK Puram 📱 9999965857 🤩 Delhi 🫦 HOT AND SEXY VVIP 🍎 SERVICE
Call Girls In RK Puram 📱  9999965857  🤩 Delhi 🫦 HOT AND SEXY VVIP 🍎 SERVICECall Girls In RK Puram 📱  9999965857  🤩 Delhi 🫦 HOT AND SEXY VVIP 🍎 SERVICE
Call Girls In RK Puram 📱 9999965857 🤩 Delhi 🫦 HOT AND SEXY VVIP 🍎 SERVICE
 
ALL NFL NETWORK CONTACTS- April 29, 2024
ALL NFL NETWORK CONTACTS- April 29, 2024ALL NFL NETWORK CONTACTS- April 29, 2024
ALL NFL NETWORK CONTACTS- April 29, 2024
 
Atlanta Dream Exec Dan Gadd on Driving Fan Engagement and Growth, Serving the...
Atlanta Dream Exec Dan Gadd on Driving Fan Engagement and Growth, Serving the...Atlanta Dream Exec Dan Gadd on Driving Fan Engagement and Growth, Serving the...
Atlanta Dream Exec Dan Gadd on Driving Fan Engagement and Growth, Serving the...
 
大学假文凭《原版英国Imperial文凭》帝国理工学院毕业证制作成绩单修改
大学假文凭《原版英国Imperial文凭》帝国理工学院毕业证制作成绩单修改大学假文凭《原版英国Imperial文凭》帝国理工学院毕业证制作成绩单修改
大学假文凭《原版英国Imperial文凭》帝国理工学院毕业证制作成绩单修改
 
JORNADA 5 LIGA MURO 2024INSUGURACION.pdf
JORNADA 5 LIGA MURO 2024INSUGURACION.pdfJORNADA 5 LIGA MURO 2024INSUGURACION.pdf
JORNADA 5 LIGA MURO 2024INSUGURACION.pdf
 
08448380779 Call Girls In International Airport Women Seeking Men
08448380779 Call Girls In International Airport Women Seeking Men08448380779 Call Girls In International Airport Women Seeking Men
08448380779 Call Girls In International Airport Women Seeking Men
 
Dubai Call Girls Bikni O528786472 Call Girls Dubai Ebony
Dubai Call Girls Bikni O528786472 Call Girls Dubai EbonyDubai Call Girls Bikni O528786472 Call Girls Dubai Ebony
Dubai Call Girls Bikni O528786472 Call Girls Dubai Ebony
 
TAM Sports_IPL 17 Till Match 37_Celebrity Endorsement _Report.pdf
TAM Sports_IPL 17 Till Match 37_Celebrity Endorsement _Report.pdfTAM Sports_IPL 17 Till Match 37_Celebrity Endorsement _Report.pdf
TAM Sports_IPL 17 Till Match 37_Celebrity Endorsement _Report.pdf
 
CALL ON ➥8923113531 🔝Call Girls Chinhat Lucknow best sexual service
CALL ON ➥8923113531 🔝Call Girls Chinhat Lucknow best sexual serviceCALL ON ➥8923113531 🔝Call Girls Chinhat Lucknow best sexual service
CALL ON ➥8923113531 🔝Call Girls Chinhat Lucknow best sexual service
 
VIP Kolkata Call Girl Liluah 👉 8250192130 Available With Room
VIP Kolkata Call Girl Liluah 👉 8250192130  Available With RoomVIP Kolkata Call Girl Liluah 👉 8250192130  Available With Room
VIP Kolkata Call Girl Liluah 👉 8250192130 Available With Room
 
Call Girls 🫤 Paharganj ➡️ 9999965857 ➡️ Delhi 🫦 Russian Escorts FULL ENJOY
Call Girls 🫤 Paharganj ➡️ 9999965857  ➡️ Delhi 🫦  Russian Escorts FULL ENJOYCall Girls 🫤 Paharganj ➡️ 9999965857  ➡️ Delhi 🫦  Russian Escorts FULL ENJOY
Call Girls 🫤 Paharganj ➡️ 9999965857 ➡️ Delhi 🫦 Russian Escorts FULL ENJOY
 
CALL ON ➥8923113531 🔝Call Girls Telibagh Lucknow best Night Fun service 🧣
CALL ON ➥8923113531 🔝Call Girls Telibagh Lucknow best Night Fun service  🧣CALL ON ➥8923113531 🔝Call Girls Telibagh Lucknow best Night Fun service  🧣
CALL ON ➥8923113531 🔝Call Girls Telibagh Lucknow best Night Fun service 🧣
 
🔝|97111༒99012🔝 Call Girls In {Delhi} Cr Park ₹5.5k Cash Payment With Room De...
🔝|97111༒99012🔝 Call Girls In  {Delhi} Cr Park ₹5.5k Cash Payment With Room De...🔝|97111༒99012🔝 Call Girls In  {Delhi} Cr Park ₹5.5k Cash Payment With Room De...
🔝|97111༒99012🔝 Call Girls In {Delhi} Cr Park ₹5.5k Cash Payment With Room De...
 
CALL ON ➥8923113531 🔝Call Girls Saharaganj Lucknow best Female service 🦺
CALL ON ➥8923113531 🔝Call Girls Saharaganj Lucknow best Female service  🦺CALL ON ➥8923113531 🔝Call Girls Saharaganj Lucknow best Female service  🦺
CALL ON ➥8923113531 🔝Call Girls Saharaganj Lucknow best Female service 🦺
 
Albania Vs Spain Albania is Loaded with Defensive Talent on their Roster.docx
Albania Vs Spain Albania is Loaded with Defensive Talent on their Roster.docxAlbania Vs Spain Albania is Loaded with Defensive Talent on their Roster.docx
Albania Vs Spain Albania is Loaded with Defensive Talent on their Roster.docx
 
Plan d'orientations stratégiques rugby féminin
Plan d'orientations stratégiques rugby fémininPlan d'orientations stratégiques rugby féminin
Plan d'orientations stratégiques rugby féminin
 
Call Girls Service Noida Extension @9999965857 Delhi 🫦 No Advance VVIP 🍎 SER...
Call Girls Service Noida Extension @9999965857 Delhi 🫦 No Advance  VVIP 🍎 SER...Call Girls Service Noida Extension @9999965857 Delhi 🫦 No Advance  VVIP 🍎 SER...
Call Girls Service Noida Extension @9999965857 Delhi 🫦 No Advance VVIP 🍎 SER...
 
Italy vs Albania Tickets: Italy's Quest for Euro Cup Germany History, Defendi...
Italy vs Albania Tickets: Italy's Quest for Euro Cup Germany History, Defendi...Italy vs Albania Tickets: Italy's Quest for Euro Cup Germany History, Defendi...
Italy vs Albania Tickets: Italy's Quest for Euro Cup Germany History, Defendi...
 
Croatia vs Albania Clash of Euro Cup 2024 Squad Preparations and Euro Cup Dre...
Croatia vs Albania Clash of Euro Cup 2024 Squad Preparations and Euro Cup Dre...Croatia vs Albania Clash of Euro Cup 2024 Squad Preparations and Euro Cup Dre...
Croatia vs Albania Clash of Euro Cup 2024 Squad Preparations and Euro Cup Dre...
 

MLB Use Oddsmakers Knowledge Against Them.pptx

  • 1. Use Oddsmakers’ Knowledge Against Them Applies in MLB Too! OffshoreInsiders.com
  • 2.  Use oddsmakers knowledge against them. MLB no exception  Worse team (based on winning percentage) favorite is very good bet o Even more impressive on runline o Moneyline and ATS, SU record most deceptive stat from capping standpoint  Colder and inferior pitcher better value o Public loves better, hot pitchers o Big favorites better in recent years, especially on runline
  • 3.  Oddsmakers tell you a team has best chance to win in recent play, listen to them o Example if they are favorite after three straight games as dog of 140 or more o Ditto, total lower than usual, generally an UNDER  Early in my industry days was told, bet WITH opposite streaks of at least 3 o One team at least 3 game, win streak other lost at least 3, but on hotter team o Opposite is true especially if colder team the favorite  Regression to the mean  Golden Rule, if line does not make sense based on W-L record or recent streaks, it makes dollars o Pros think counterintuitive