SPC AC 271728
Day 2 Convective Outlook
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
1228 PM CDT Wed Mar 27 2024
Valid 281200Z - 291200Z
...NO SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AREAS FORECAST...
...SUMMARY...
Severe thunderstorms are not expected on Thursday.
...Synopsis...
A deep upper-level trough is forecast to move eastward across the
eastern CONUS on Thursday, as another deep upper-level trough
gradually moves eastward across the West. A surface cyclone is
forecast to amplify and move northeastward just offshore of the
Carolina coast, as a trailing cold front sweeps through the Florida
Peninsula.
While a favorable overlap of buoyancy and deep-layer shear will be
in place across the FL Peninsula prior to the frontal passage,
weakening large-scale ascent across the warm sector is currently
expected to limit storm coverage and intensity. Otherwise, elevated
convection may persist through the day across parts of the coastal
Carolinas.
Across parts of the Northwest, Great Basin, and northern Rockies,
cold temperatures aloft associated with the upper-level trough may
support weak convection capable of sporadic lightning flashes. Gusty
winds may accompany convection across parts of eastern NV and
western UT, but weak instability should limit the severe threat.
..Dean.. 03/27/2024
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