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Jan 20, 2025 1730 UTC Day 2 Convective Outlook
Updated: Mon Jan 20 17:02:22 UTC 2025 (Print Version | 20250120 1730Z Day 2 shapefile | 20250120 1730Z Day 2 KML)
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Categorical Day2 1730Z Outlook
 
 Forecast Discussion
   SPC AC 201702

   Day 2 Convective Outlook  
   NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
   1102 AM CST Mon Jan 20 2025

   Valid 211200Z - 221200Z

   ...NO THUNDERSTORM AREAS FORECAST...

   ...SUMMARY...
   Thunderstorms are not forecast on Tuesday through Tuesday night.

   ...Synopsis...
   Thunder potential will be nil across much of the CONUS during the D2
   period. Deep convection will be relegated to the Gulf, initially
   over the west-central portion before spreading towards the southeast
   part late. The slimmest of elevated buoyancy (MUCAPE below 100 J/kg)
   along the Upper TX to LA Gulf Coast may coincide with mixed-phase
   parcels, supporting weak convection into late morning. A few
   lightning flashes are possible along the immediate coast, but the
   overall thunder probability appears to be less than 10 percent.

   As deep convection progresses east across the Gulf, it is expected
   to wane with approach to southwest FL and the Keys early Wednesday
   morning. This decaying phase should occur in response poor mid-level
   lapse rates downstream of a positive-tilt trough and subsiding
   large-scale ascent.

   ..Grams.. 01/20/2025

   CLICK TO GET WUUS02 PTSDY2 PRODUCT

   NOTE: THE NEXT DAY 2 OUTLOOK IS SCHEDULED BY 0700Z
   CURRENT UTC TIME: 1646Z (4:46PM), RELOAD THIS PAGE TO UPDATE THE TIME
        
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Page last modified: January 20, 2025
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