SPC AC 240050

   Day 1 Convective Outlook  
   NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
   0750 PM CDT Tue Apr 23 2024

   Valid 240100Z - 241200Z

   ...THERE IS A SLIGHT RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS ACROSS PORTIONS OF
   NORTHWEST TEXAS...

   ...SUMMARY...
   Isolated severe thunderstorms capable of producing large hail and
   gusts to 65 mph will be possible for a few more hours this evening
   across across northwest Texas.

   ...TX...

   Severe probabilities have been removed from southwest TX as storms
   across that area have weakened and dissipated. The severe
   probabilities over northwest TX have been trimmed (and removed from
   southwest OK), and are mostly in line with Severe Thunderstorm Watch
   132. A recently severe-warned cell near Fisher and Nolan Counties
   will continue to develop southeast over the next couple hours,
   posing a risk for large hail and strong gusts before dissipating as
   the boundary layer stabilizes with loss of daytime heating.
   Additional convection has been modestly deepening near the cold
   front/dryline intersection in the vicinity of Garza County. This
   activity may briefly become strong over the next 1-2 hours before
   also weakening.

   The Marginal (level 1 of 2) and Slight (level 2 of 5) risks have
   been nudged southward a bit to account for storm motion.

   ...Great Lakes...

   Severe probabilities have been removed given very weak instability
   and a stabilizing boundary layer. A strong storm may persist in the
   short term, producing locally gusty winds or small hail, before
   weakening with time and eastward extent over the next hour or so.

   ..Leitman.. 04/24/2024

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