Braves-Phillies Preview and Free Pick

Phillies (Nola -104)-Braves (Fried) 8

  • 56% of moneyline tickets on Braves, but 66% of cash on Phillies
    • Implies sharp money on Philadelphia
  • 51% of tickets on UNDER, 86% of money also on UNDER
    • Sharp money on UNDER
  • Phillies with .468 slugging percentage, .810 OPS last 7
    • Braves just .762 OPS same span
  • Phillies 1-4 road -2.8 and 9-12 all -8.1 units
  • Atlanta 8-3 home +4.4 units
  • Sets up anti-splits angle road team’s winning percentage is at least .370 worse than home team’s winning percentage and not at least 155 favorites, +127.27 units for 9.8 ROI
  • Nola .183 BA against, including .153 last three, but first road game
  • Fried 1.24 ERA overall, .52 last three and .95 at night

Free pick: PHILLIES

 

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