After a marathon meeting in the Belgian capital, creditors agreed that Greece has done pretty-much everything required under its bailout
A few prior actions do remain, concerning pensions and privatisations, but once that is resolved, the money will flow -- starting with €7.5bn in June.
Eurogroup president Jeroen Dijsselbloem told reporters that Greece’s programme was back on track.
“We achieved a major breakthrough on Greece which enables us to enter a new phase in the Greek financial assistance programme,....This is stretching what I thought would have been possible not so long ago.”
However, European chief Poul Thomsen insisted that the Fund must check that the eurozone is offering substantial debt relief.
Thomsen said:
We welcome that all stakeholders recognise that Greek debt is unsustainable. We welcome that it is understood that Greece needs debt relief to make it sustainable.
That will start with short-term tweaks to Greece’s debts, to smooth out its obligations.
Medium-term measures are also promised, although not until 2018, which looks like a concession from the IMF.
There is also a commitment to consider whether further restructuring will be needed once the bailout ends, assuming Athens sticks to the programme and everything works out.
Donald Tusk, the head of the European Council, said the Greek deal was good for the global economy.
Slovakia’s finance minister Peter Kazimir also sounded satisfied, comparing the negotiations to “a complicated birth”.
And France’s Michel Sapin was positively upbeat, saying the deal was “first and foremost a declaration of confidence in today’s Greece.”
Some questions remain, over the details of the debt relief, whether it will satisfy the IMF, and whether Greece can ever exit its financial crisis while sticking to the tough terms of its bailout.
“I think there is some ground for optimism that this can be the beginning of turning Greece’s vicious circle of recession-measures-recession into one where investors have a clear runway to invest in Greece.
Down the corridor, Greek finance minister Euclid Tsakalotos has told reporters that today’s deal is an ‘important moment’ (echoing Dijsselbloem, Thomsen and Moscovici)
And finally.... Jeroen Dijsselbloem insists that the eurozone would not ‘go it alone’ without the International Monetary Fund.
If, hypothetically speaking, the Fund found it couldn’t back the package then the two sides would work together to find a solution, he says, promising that:
We will stay in close co-operation with the IMF.
And that, blessedly, is the end of the press conference, at almost 3am in Brussels.
Bruno Waterfield of the Times is concerned that the measures agreed tonight aren’t actually quantified. Why not?
Poul Thomsen says Europe can deliver the measures which the IMF has been calling for. He agreed that they need to be quantified, before the Fund can come on board.
The key is that Greece must be able to stand on its own at the end of the programme period (in 2018)
And Thomsen warns that he will not ask the Fund’s board to join the bailout programme otherwise.
Q: When will the eurozone decide the details of medium-term debt relief? Not until after the German elections?
Dijsselbloem claims he doesn’t know when those elections are! (I think they could be in August 2017, or later).
He then explains that the Greek deal expires in 2018 - so if the programme is completed, we will draw up a new debt sustainability analysis.
He also insists that the package hammered out for Greece is truly ambitious, Ministers have “stretched their political capital” to get this deal on the table, Dijsselbloem adds.
IMF: Everyone now agrees Greece's debt is unsustainable
Now the IMF’s European chief, Poul Thomsen, speaks!
He says the Fund welcomes the “important package of measures” which Greece has adopted. All sides have had to compromise.
And Thomsen then turns to the big issue - debt relief.
We welcome that all stakeholders recognise that Greek debt is unsustainable. We welcome that it is understood that Greece needs debt relief to make it sustainable.
And we welcome that there is agreement on the methodology and the objectives of what debt relief will achieve.
The IMF will now spend some time analysing the short-term debt relief measures being taken.
And crucially he confirms that IMF staff will recommend joining the bailout by the end of 2016, as long as the debt sustainability analysis shows that the measures on the table will work.
Ultimately, though, it’s a decision for the Fund’s board.
The boss of the ESM bailout fund, Klaus Regling, says Greece needs to complete the outstanding ‘prior actions’ previously agreed with its lenders.
Then national governments must give their approval, before the first portion of the bailout funds - worth 7.5 billion euros -- can be handed over in June.
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